The key factor influencing most currencies today will be the release of the FOMC minutes. A hawkish stance could strengthen the US dollar and put downward pressure on other currencies. NZD/USD is an exception, potentially benefiting from the hawkish RBNZ decision. Gold and Silver remain uncertain without a clear directional bias.
Euro (EUR):
- Current Price: 1.0825 (slightly lower)
- Trend: Downtrend channel, possible bullish cycle within the downtrend
- Key factors: FOMC minutes release later today. Hawkish minutes could strengthen USD and weaken EUR.
- Support: 1.0784, 1.0843
- Resistance: 1.0895, 1.0921, 1.0972
- Trading Signal: Consider buying above 1.0822 with a target of 1.0858 if the FOMC minutes are dovish.
British Pound (GBP):
- Current Price: 1.2703 (edged higher earlier)
- Trend: Uncertain
- Key factors: Higher than expected UK inflation dampened expectations for a June rate cut. FOMC minutes release later today.
- Support: 1.2570, 1.2641
- Resistance: 1.2772, 1.2843
- Trading Signal: Consider selling below 1.2695 with a target of 1.2665 if the FOMC minutes are hawkish.
Japanese Yen (JPY):
- Current Price: 156.56 (slightly higher)
- Trend: Upward trend
- Key factors: FOMC minutes release later today. Hawkish minutes could push the pair higher.
- Support: 156.11, 156.38
- Resistance: 156.65, 156.91
- Trading Signal: Consider buying USD/JPY at 156.65 with a target of 156.91 if the FOMC minutes are hawkish.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD):
- Current Price: 0.6124 (pushed higher)
- Trend: Uncertain
- Key factors: RBNZ held rates but signaled inflation concerns and a possible rate hike later in 2024.
- Support: 0.6039
- Resistance: 0.6185, 0.6235
- Trading Signal: No clear signal due to uncertain trend.
Gold (XAU):
- Current Price: 2,309 (within a bearish channel)
- Trend: Bearish
- Support: 2,385 (downtrend channel bottom), 2,388
- Resistance: 2,420, 2,450 (all-time high)
- Trading Signal: Consider buying above 2,405 with a target of 2,420 if there’s a technical rebound.
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