The markets are cautious with a slight risk-off sentiment. Currencies are being driven by interest rate differentials and economic data. Gold is experiencing a correction, and oil prices are awaiting fresh catalysts.
EUR/USD
- Euro edges lower despite German business confidence rising.
- The ECB is expected to deliver rate cuts, but the timing is uncertain.
- Resistance at 1.0729 and 1.0757, with support at 1.0684 and 1.0656.
- Forecast: EUR/USD may see choppy trading with a slight downward bias. Upside potential exists if US data disappoints.
GBP/USD
- Pound remains pressured by inflation concerns and potential for a hawkish Fed.
- Resistance at 1.2478 and 1.2532, with support at 1.2340 and 1.2383.
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Forecast: GBP/USD likely to remain under pressure with downside potential. Buying opportunities may arise on rebounds towards resistance levels.
AUD/USD
- Australian dollar edges higher after inflation data comes in higher than expected.
- RBA likely done with rate hikes, but may hold steady until inflation eases.
- Resistance at 0.6555 and 0.6618, with support at 0.6487 and 0.6424.
- Forecast: AUD/USD may see some consolidation or a slight upward move if risk sentiment improves.
USD/CAD
- Canadian dollar dips after retail sales data disappoints.
- BoC holding steady on rates for now, but a cut could be coming later in the year.
- Resistance at 1.3773, with support at 1.3651 and 1.3579.
- Forecast: USD/CAD may see some upward movement, with downside potential if risk sentiment weakens.
USD/JPY
- Dollar continues to strengthen against the Yen, reaching new yearly highs.
- BoJ intervention remains a possibility to limit further Yen weakness.
- Resistance at 155.29, with support at 154.55 and 154.82.
- Forecast: USD/JPY likely to maintain its upward bias in the near term, but watch for potential intervention or profit-taking leading to pullbacks.
Gold
- Gold prices have fallen sharply after reaching a new all-time high.
- Uncertain whether the correction is a temporary pullback or a reversal of the uptrend.
- Positive factors include the Gold/Copper ratio remaining in a rising trend channel.
- Forecast: Gold prices could remain volatile. Upside potential depends on risk sentiment and inflation concerns. Downside risk exists if the correction extends.
Oil
- Possible short-term uptrend: Look to buy if price holds above support at $82.06. Target price: $86.91. Stop loss according to trading pattern.
- Downside risk: If price breaks below support and closes under $81.57, downtrend could resume. Target price: $77.11.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD):
- Potential pullback before uptrend: Expect a small price dip before a possible rise to $71,635.77.
Ripple (XRPUSD):
- Downtrend expected: Price may fall to $0.461.
Ethereum (ETHUSD):
- Downtrend continuing: Price may fall to $2,907.00.
Categories: Market News