Market Caution Despite Quiet Close: Financial markets ended the week on a subdued note, but traders anticipate increased volatility ahead. Key inflation data releases and central bank pronouncements are likely to stir things up.
Yen Nears Critical Level:
The Japanese Yen weakened further and is nearing the psychologically important level of 160 yen against the US dollar. Intervention by Japanese authorities is a possibility if it depreciates further, potentially causing a more active start to the week.
US PCE Data Takes Center Stage:
The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is the most anticipated economic indicator of the week, but other events can influence markets before then.
Day to Day Breakdown:
- Monday:
- A relatively quiet day with no major events in Asia.
- The German Ifo business climate index and a speech by Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) member Christopher Waller are highlights in the European session.
- Later, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem’s speech might impact the Canadian dollar (Loonie).
- Tuesday:
- The first half is light on market-moving events.
- However, the release of Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data in the New York session could trigger volatility.
- The US Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index reports also land on Tuesday.
- Wednesday:
- Australian markets will be in focus with the release of their key CPI figures.
- The European session lacks significant events, but the US unveils New Home Sales and Crude Oil Inventory data later.
- Thursday:
- The Asian session is quiet, but European traders will be attentive as Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks about the Financial Stability Report.
- The US session is packed with data releases, including Quarterly GDP, Durable Goods Orders, Final GDP, and Pending Home Sales figures.
- Friday:
- The initial focus in Asia shifts to Japan’s Tokyo CPI data.
- Spanish Flash CPI might cause euro fluctuations in the European session, but the main event occurs in New York with the release of the Core PCE Price Index.
- Other data points for traders to consider before the weekend include Canadian GDP figures and revised University of Michigan data.
Categories: Market News