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The euro gained some support from improved German data but remained pressured by caution around central bank policy and U.S. housing strength. The pound held recent gains yet faced downside risks from dollar demand. The yen fluctuated as investors weighed safe-haven flows against central bank policy signals. The Australian and New Zealand dollars firmed on softer U.S. outlook and local data resilience, while the franc traded in ranges amid Swiss disinflation. Gold advanced on dovish Fed expectations and persistent haven demand.


๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ EUR/USD Outlook โ€“ Euro vs U.S. Dollar

Key Factors:

  • Euro gained after Powellโ€™s dovish tone at Jackson Hole, raising expectations for a Fed rate cut in September.
  • ECB policy outlook remains uncertain due to weak growth, trade tariffs, and inflation risks.
  • Germanyโ€™s IFO data improved, but momentum for euro growth remains fragile.
  • Dollar sentiment depends heavily on US housing and labor market data this week.

Forecast:

  • Likely rangebound with mild bullish bias if US data remains soft.
  • Break above resistance could extend rally, but strong US data may reintroduce downward pressure.

Support levels: 1.1687, 1.1671, 1.1625, 1.1589

Resistance levels: 1.1737, 1.1770


๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ GBP/USD Outlook โ€“ British Pound vs U.S. Dollar

Key Factors:

  • Sterling rallied with the euro on Powellโ€™s speech but lacks domestic drivers (UK bank holiday, limited data).
  • Movement largely tied to USD direction, particularly from housing and labor data.
  • Traders cautious as dollar rebound risk remains.

Forecast:

  • Pound likely to consolidate gains; upside limited unless dollar remains weak.
  • Strong US data could drive a corrective pullback.

Support levels: 1.3530, 1.3476, 1.3396, 1.3313

Resistance levels: 1.3586


๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต USD/JPY Outlook โ€“ U.S. Dollar vs Japanese Yen

Key Factors:

  • Yen strengthened after Powellโ€™s dovish signals but weakened after BOJ Governor Ueda hinted at further hikes.
  • BOJ outlook: inflation expectations rising, but export risks from US tariffs limit tightening scope.
  • Safe-haven appeal for yen rises on weak US data.

Forecast:

  • Medium-term bias bearish for USD/JPY if Fed eases and BOJ stays cautious hawkish.
  • Short-term corrective rebound possible if US yields rise.

Support levels: 146.99, 146.75, 146.35

Resistance levels: 147.64, 148.03, 148.52, 149.18


๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ AUD/USD Outlook โ€“ Australian Dollar vs U.S. Dollar

Key Factors:

  • Aussie extended gains as Powellโ€™s dovish tone weakened USD.
  • RBA recently cut rates to 3.60%, minutes expected to give clues about further cuts.
  • Inflation slowed to 2.1%, growth outlook downgraded to 1.7%, raising policy risks.

Forecast:

  • Short-term consolidation, potential upside if RBA minutes are less dovish.
  • Weak domestic growth outlook could limit sustained rallies.

Support levels: 0.6469, 0.6438

Resistance levels: 0.6524, 0.6555


๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ /๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ NZD/USD Outlook โ€“ New Zealand Dollar vs U.S. Dollar

Key Factors:

  • Kiwi surged after Powellโ€™s speech and better-than-expected NZ retail sales (+0.5% q/q).
  • RBNZ remains dovish, signaling further cuts despite stronger consumer spending.
  • Market sees sideways correction with volatile swings.

Forecast:

  • Likely choppy trading; upside capped by Fed-driven USD moves, downside limited by resilient local demand.

Support levels: 0.5860, 0.5854, 0.5843

Resistance levels: 0.5871, 0.5877


๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ USD/CHF Outlook โ€“ U.S. Dollar vs Swiss Franc

Key Factors:

  • Dollar volatility remains high after Powellโ€™s dovish remarks.
  • SNB maintains dovish tone amid disinflation, pressured by US tariffs on Swiss exports.
  • Pair trades above 0.80 psychological level after forming a double bottom.

Forecast:

  • Rangebound consolidation likely between 0.80โ€“0.81.
  • Breakout above 0.81 could push toward 0.8170, while breakdown below 0.7950 could reopen downside risks.

Support levels: 0.8000, 0.7950, 0.7875

Resistance levels: 0.8070, 0.8100, 0.8150


๐ŸŒ• Gold (XAU/USD) Outlook โ€“ Gold vs U.S. Dollar

Key Factors:

  • Gold rallied as Powell opened the door to Fed cuts, boosting safe-haven demand.
  • Market now prices multiple Fed cuts this year, supporting non-yielding assets.
  • Still trading below $3,400 psychological barrier; technical rejection possible.

Forecast:

  • Bullish bias above $3,350; potential test of $3,398โ€“$3,417 if $3,378 is broken.
  • Failure to sustain above $3,400 could trigger corrective drop toward $3,320.

Support levels: 3358, 3350, 3327, 3311, 3281

Resistance levels: 3374, 3383, 3402, 3433


๐Ÿ“Š Summary Table: As of August 26, 2025

AssetBiasKey FactorsSupport LevelsResistance Levels
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR/USDBullishFed cut bets, weak USD, ECB uncertainty1.1687, 1.1671, 1.16251.1737, 1.1770
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP/USDNeutralUSD-driven, no UK data, correction risk1.3530, 1.3476, 1.33961.3586
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต USD/JPYBearishBOJ hike hints, Fed dovish, safe-haven flows146.99, 146.75, 146.35147.64, 148.03, 148.52
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUD/USDNeutralRBA cuts, soft growth outlook, USD weakness0.6469, 0.64380.6524, 0.6555
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ NZD/USDNeutralRetail sales beat, RBNZ dovish, USD moves0.5860, 0.5854, 0.58430.5871, 0.5877
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ USD/CHFRangeboundSNB dovish, tariffs, USD volatility0.8000, 0.7950, 0.78750.8070, 0.8100, 0.8150
๐Ÿช™ XAU/USDBullishFed cut bets, safe-haven demand, inflation risk3358, 3350, 3327, 3311, 32813374, 3383, 3402, 3433


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